Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.020084 0.023399 0.027059 0.031392 0.036380 0.041936 0.048591
2025-11-09 0.014698 0.018876 0.023918 0.030435 0.038616 0.048528 0.061427
2025-11-16 0.011476 0.016044 0.022002 0.030304 0.041528 0.056126 0.076496
2025-11-23 0.008979 0.013546 0.019931 0.029442 0.043166 0.062157 0.090313
2025-11-30 0.007761 0.012522 0.019595 0.030762 0.047814 0.072704 0.111567
2025-12-07 0.006516 0.011189 0.018533 0.030763 0.050426 0.080551 0.129844
2025-12-14 0.005346 0.009735 0.017006 0.029732 0.051199 0.085593 0.144350
2025-12-21 0.004549 0.008746 0.016044 0.029418 0.052984 0.092308 0.162157
2025-12-28 0.004192 0.008463 0.016220 0.031026 0.058151 0.105069 0.191321
2026-01-04 0.003785 0.008008 0.016007 0.031882 0.062061 0.116071 0.218636
2026-01-11 0.003230 0.007164 0.014933 0.030964 0.062576 0.121091 0.235825
2026-01-18 0.002830 0.006563 0.014231 0.030642 0.064135 0.128107 0.257325
2026-01-25 0.002418 0.005872 0.013261 0.029680 0.064382 0.132820 0.275296
2026-02-01 0.002088 0.005303 0.012457 0.028941 0.064980 0.138269 0.295320
2026-02-08 0.001859 0.004927 0.012012 0.028902 0.067020 0.146792 0.322405
2026-02-15 0.001612 0.004459 0.011283 0.028122 0.067344 0.151807 0.342792
2026-02-22 0.001524 0.004377 0.011444 0.029409 0.072427 0.167392 0.387157
2026-03-01 0.001372 0.004100 0.011091 0.029422 0.074581 0.176855 0.419236
2026-03-08 0.001191 0.003704 0.010377 0.028440 0.074258 0.180766 0.439386
2026-03-15 0.001064 0.003439 0.009958 0.028141 0.075542 0.188450 0.468886
2026-03-22 0.001027 0.003435 0.010231 0.029685 0.081605 0.207890 0.527681
2026-03-29 0.000965 0.003337 0.010235 0.030507 0.085923 0.223612 0.579208
2026-04-05 0.000848 0.003047 0.009651 0.029627 0.085681 0.228218 0.604289